Oct
A Beginners Hand book for Stock Trading
Posted by admin as shares and stocks
Here’s a brief interview that covers stock trading and trading plans for beginners.
STUART: I’m joined in Dalian, China by one of my mentors, Daryl Guppy. I just wanted to ask a few questions on trading plan. I guess because we’re in China and you do a lot of work here, and we’re all worried about this global financial crisis and the recession talk and everything, how’s China handling all this?
DARYL: China’s doing okay compared to other places. But a pullback of even just a few percent in terms of GDP is as significant as a pullback of a few percent in Australia. So Australia’s talking a GDP of what? 2? 2-1/2 percent? Whereas, China’s pulled back from 11 percent to 9 percent. That’s a 2 percent drop. It doesn’t seem much because 9 percent sounds much, much better than 2-1/2 percent.
DARYL: But it still has a significant impact on the Chinese economy. So the key factor in the Chinese economy is it strengthens domestic demand. That’s what’s really driving this economy, and that’s the major political factor that the government has to consider. It has to keep domestic demand strong and keep the drivers strong, and it will turn away from overseas work to concentrate on what’s happening domestically because overall exports for China represent about 2 percent of GDP, 1-1/2 to 2 percent. So it’s not that significant, but for us of course, exports from China are a significant part of our economy.
STUART: Could China actually emerge out of all this as the leading economy in the world.
DARYL: Certainly that’s the case, and there are currently discussions at the moment to establish the yuan as a reserve currency, and now we had three reserve currencies: the U.S. dollar, the euro, and Japanese yen. Now to recapitalize world financial markets, we really have to draw on Chinese yuan reserves. So the current discussion that’s taking place is at a ministerial level in China. It’s stable. It’s secure. So many people have been pouring their money into the U.S. dollar as a safe haven, which potentially it may not be a safe haven, but people see it as that.
DARYL: With respect to that analysis, yes, perhaps not 100 percent in the sense that there has been a tremendous flow of money out of what we call emerging or developing markets, U.S. money back to the U.S. It’s a flight of fear, not a flight of quality. I mean, you have 16 percent moves overnight. These are not things that are normal in currency markets. It is not an easy time for stock trading and CFD trading for beginners.
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